RESOLVING FINANCIAL RANGE DATA DISCREPANCIES USING LATENT VARIABLES: A QUANTITATIVE APPROACH

Authors

  • Maria Sanchez Gomez Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Madrid, Spain

Keywords:

Volatility, range, importance sampling, indirect inference

Abstract

In this paper we introduce a latent variable based model for the dynamics of financial range, the stochastic
conditional range (SCR). We propose to estimate its parameters by Kalman filter, indirect inference and simulated
maximum likelihood depending on the hypotheses on the distributional form of the innovations. The model is
applied to a large subset of the S&P 500 components. A comparison of its fitting and forecasting abilities with the
conditional autoregressive range (CARR) model shows that the new approach can provide a competitive alternative

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Published

2025-01-28

Issue

Section

Articles